Friday, July 03, 2009

Riding the change curve

Yesterday I was presenting at an organisation's internal HR conference. I gave the same presentation I've been doing all year, on the theme of 'change and opportunity'. I explain the enormous pressures for change currently facing learning and development, and the opportunities we have at our disposal to respond to these changes using new media. I also take the chance to debunk a whole load of the pop psychology which has held back l&d for decades.

While waiting for my slot, I attended another presentation on change - actually rather a good one - given by an internal specialist. Part of this presentation was a discussion of the 'change curve' which is often used to describe the change process. You've probably seen it, it goes something like this:

change_curve

I say 'something like this' because I explored it on Google and there were so many variations, mostly unaccredited, that I gave up counting. It seems that the originator of the change curve is Elisabeth Kübler-Ross, back in 1975. Kübler-Ross used it to explain the reaction of individuals to major losses, such as bereavement, although it seems to have been adapted as a way to explain, even to manage, changes in organisations.

The model is attractive, because it's easy to relate to your own experience. I immediately began to wonder where l&d professionals were on the change curve when it comes to engaging with new media. I thought about the audience for my presentation: Did new media still have the capability to shock? How many would still be in denial? Would I attract an angry response? At what point in the future would my work become redundant as the whole profession emerges into a state of total and happy commitment?

Anyway, that was where I saw this post going. Until I started to look a little more into the model. I wanted to know whether it really held water. The answer came in The Change Curve Debunked in the Performance Psychology blog, which I’m going to quote liberally:

One of the concepts that is misunderstood and misapplied frequently, even by major players in change, is that of the Change Curve.

The Change Curve is an adaptation of Elisabeth Kübler-Ross’s five-stage theory that seeks to explain how people deal with catastrophic personal loss (e.g. loss of a job, freedom, finances, status, identity) or grief (loss of a loved one). The stages are denial, anger, bargaining, depression and acceptance.

It has also been observed that personal change can be somewhat like personal loss and, therefore, the model has been applied to change. Indeed, I have seen it stated, more or less as fact, that when people change they need to be helped along this curve. I’ve also seen it reduced to four (that way it fits nicely in a matrix) and three stages.

But wait a minute. Let’s not let the facts get in the way of a nice model. On the other hand, let’s debunk this baby right now.

(Let’s overlook the fact that the five-stage model has had little empirical testing in its own right, and particularly in relation to organisational change.)

First of all, Kübler-Ross herself stated that people do not necessarily go through all of the stages, and if they do, it can be in any order. Indeed, people can experience a whole range of emotions at different times during grief.

Second, and for me the real point, is that change is not always experienced as loss. Some people love it. It’s exciting. It’s new. It’s a break with the crappy old way of doing things. It’s liberating. Why have we given change which, let’s face it, people do all the time, such a bad press that it is considered synonymous with grief?

By all means, keep the five-stage model in our armoury, but let’s not get carried away with it. Let’s not present it as an unequivocal truth. And let’s not let it get in the way of attempting to truly understand how people really experience change.

Phew. See how easy it is to fall into that old pop psychology trap. Just escaped this time.

5 Comments:

At 6:09 PM, Anonymous Jo Jordan said...

Oh, I use this model to predict change.

Take reactions to the crunch. We had denial - and some people still don't seem to understand that 60% of Britain's debt has been lent directly to the banks.

Then we get anger. Plenty of that going on.

We are moving into bargaining. Lend some money back to people. Argue with Obama. No real plan.

Then we will get helplessness. A corollary will be planless experimentation.

And finally we will move to some concerted action. That may take a loooong time. We have to work towards the point when we believe in people and plan and each other sufficiently to move forward together.

Until then, no change. Those of us who are waiting can try to see ahead, take appropriate action, but wait we will. Part of the story is that we have to wait for the consolidation to occur and it happens faster if we let people grieve.

It is a model to help us understand reactions which are uncomfortable and which we wish were different - but we have to live through nonetheless.

BTW, I am using this model in the my business plan to predict how quickly we will respond to the crunch and rejig the economy. I'll revise my assessment every 6 mo. It just helps to think clearly.

 
At 8:15 AM, Blogger Garry Platt said...

Clive – I read your blog and understand that you did a Google and found multiple variations on the original grief cycle. I also read that you discovered Rob Robson’s blog where he airs his opinions on the Kubler Ross model.

Can I ask you; have you actually read her books to contrast what she claims against the issues Rob raises? Or do you believe blogs ahead of reviewing the source text? Because that’s what appears to be the case here.

Before you consign something to the ‘pop psychology bin’ I think it’s important we undertake some decent research ourselves. If you decide to actually read the source material can I suggest you don’t read the book Rob references but rather ‘On Grief and Grieving’. Whilst it might not change your mind at least you will understand the context upon which her research was based.

http://www.amazon.co.uk/Grief-Grieving-Finding-Meaning-Through/dp/0743263448/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1246690622&sr=8-1

As a matter of interest we Karyn Romeis and I discussed this same issue the day before your blog:

http://karynromeis.blogspot.com/2009/07/learning-about-bereavement.html

 
At 12:38 PM, Blogger Clive Shepherd said...

Jo and Gary, thanks for your responses. I will most definitely keep an open mind on this one from now on.

 
At 5:12 AM, Anonymous Dan Erwin said...

Kubler-Ross was an interesting creature with interesting ideas, but, as you say, she and others have debunked some of them. They're built on survey research which though helpful, should be used with care.

I'm continually surprised that Kurt Lewin's stuff is not used regularly. There's plenty of research supporting his theory, and Edgar Schein (MIT), a student of Lewin, now semi-retired is a genius at adapting Lewin's change theory.

Transitions, by Bill Bridges is widely used for personal changes, and he clearly builds on Lewin.

 
At 6:34 AM, Anonymous Garry Platt said...

One Man's Meat

One of the problems we now face is that research and academic enquiry is so broad and extensive that you can often find results to support virtually any position you like.

The following publications find Lewin has some merits but in other areas none. Burnes, Bernard, ‘Kurt Lewin and the Planned Approach to Change: A Re-appraisal’. Journal of Management Studies, Vol. 41, No. 6, pp. 977-1002, September 2004 and The Oxford Handbook of Contextual Political Analysis By Robert E. Goodin, Charles Tilly. So can I say that Lewin is debunked?

I would suggest that we have to understand that no model of human behaviour is going to be correct for everybody all of the time and any suggestion that a conceptual framework is ‘debunked’ because there are exceptions is a rather dubious claim at best. Some conceptual ideas can legitimately be consigned to the bogus bin due the absence of any significant evidence which supports it, either academic or just as importantly (in my opinion) personal experience, NLP being a notorious area for this.

 

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